Over 2.6 million British children will be living in poverty by 2020 due
to benefit cuts imposed by the Conservative government, according to a
new study.
The poorest households, particularly families with more than two
children and single parents, will be most severely impacted by another
four years of Conservative government, research by the Institute for
Fiscal Studies (IFS) has shown.
The report forecasts the percentage of children in relative poverty
will rise by eight per cent and those in absolute poverty by three per
cent by 2020-21. This will almost entirely be felt by families with
three or more children, as the Department for Work and Pensions has
decided to limit child tax credit and universal credit to families with
two children from April 2017 under the Welfare Reform and Work Bill.
The suffering caused is not limited to this group, however. These
planned cuts to welfare will counter the progress made in increasing
incomes and lowering the number of people living below the poverty line
in the last two years.
"The alarming figures are that by the end of this Tory government one
in four children will be living in relative poverty, with a rise to 2.6
million children living in absolute poverty," said the shadow
chancellor, John McDonnell.
"As the report clearly states, the government's planned tax and
benefit changes are a major reason for these rises in relative and
absolute poverty over the next five years."
Policy director at The Children's Society, Sam Royston, commenting on
the report's findings, told local reporters: "The IFS figures forecast a
shocking scale of child poverty in the coming years to levels that have
not been seen this century."
It is a consequence of "the Government abandoning its promise to eradicate child poverty by 2020," he said.
Further cuts would push still more children into poverty, and "if
minsters are genuinely concerned about child poverty the government
needs to guarantee there will be no further cuts in the Chancellor's
Budget later this month," Royston added.
James Browne, an author of the report, said the forecast for the next
five years is less bleak for the better-off and state pensioners, as
the stronger growth in household incomes over the last two years "is
likely to continue over the next five years as earnings and state
pensions grow more quickly".
Christians Against Poverty reported that there are
already "hundreds of thousands of people being left dependent on
emergency food aid because of problems in the system. These figures
confirm that things are only going to get worse."
"We need urgent action to reinstate the benefits safety net that
should ensure everyone in the UK has enough to survive," the charity
said.
Bishops sitting in the House of Lords, led by the Bishop of Durham,
Paul Butler, have raised "deep concern" about further attempts to reform
laws affecting child poverty.
"I continue to have deep concerns about the impact of the [Welfare
Reform and Work] Bill; I fear that it will lead to more children and
families being poor," said Bishop Paul during a debate on Monday.
"I remain unconvinced that the measures in this Bill will have the complete effect that is suggested."
Butler also criticised the Bill's proposition to remove "family
income" from the list of metrics used to measure the number of
16-year-olds living in poverty in the UK, on the grounds that academics
and professionals were "almost unanimous" in considering income poverty a
"big problem".
"To not take seriously the reality of financial poverty would be a major mistake", he said.
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