Russia said on Thursday it suspected Turkey was preparing a military
incursion into Syria, as a Syrian army source said Aleppo would soon be
encircled by government forces with Russian air support.
Turkey in turn accused Moscow of trying to divert attention from its
own "crimes" in Syria, and said Aleppo was threatened with a "siege of
starvation". It said Turkey had the right to take any measures to
protect its security.
In another sign of the spreading international ramifications of the
five-year-old Syrian war, Saudi Arabia said it was ready to participate
in ground operations against Islamic State in Syria if the US-led
alliance decided to launch them.
The United Nations on Wednesday suspended the first peace talks in
two years, halting an effort that seemed doomed from the start as the
war raged unabated.
Washington said on Thursday however it was hopeful
they would resume by the end of the month, and Russia said it expected
that no later than February 25.
Donors convened in London to tackle the refugee crisis created by the
conflict. British Prime Minister David Cameron said they raised $11
billion for Syrian humanitarian needs over the next four years.
Turkey said at the conference up to 70,000 refugees from Aleppo were moving towards the border to escape air strikes.
Border march
Footage online showed hundreds of people, mostly women, children and
the elderly, marching towards Turkey's Onucpinar border gate, carrying
carpets, blankets and food on their backs.
Four months of Russian air strikes have tipped the momentum of the
war Assad's way. With Moscow's help and allies including Lebanon's
Hezbollah and Iranian fighters, the Syrian army is regaining areas on
key fronts in the west.
Russia's defence ministry said it had registered "a growing number of
signs of hidden preparation of the Turkish Armed Forces for active
actions on the territory of Syria".
Any Turkish incursion would risk direct confrontation between Russia and a NATO member.
"The Russians are trying to hide their crimes in Syria," said a
senior official in Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu's office.
"They are simply diverting attention from their attacks on civilians
as a country already invading Syria. Turkey has all the rights to take
any measures to protect its own security."
In London, Davutoglu said the "humanitarian logistic corridor"
between Turkey and Aleppo was "under the invasion of these foreign
fighters and regime forces (with) the support of Russian warplanes".
"What they want to do in Aleppo today is exactly what they did in Madaya before, a siege of starvation," he added.
Davutoglu pledged that whatever the cost Turkey's door would remain
open to all Syrians. It has already taken in more than 2.5 million.
Relations between Russia and Turkey have deteriorated badly since
Turkey shot down a Russian warplane near the Syrian border in November.
State Department spokesman John Kirby declined to comment on Turkish
military operations on the Syrian border, saying only: "They are working
to secure that stretch of border, but I'm not going to comment on
specific military activities of another nation inside their borders."
Aleppo, strategic prize
Aleppo, just 50 km (30 miles) south of the Turkish border, is a major
strategic prize in the war and is currently divided into areas of
government and opposition control. Many of the rebels fighting in and
around the city have close ties to Turkey.
This week, three days of intensive Russian bombing helped the army
and allied fighters to sever a major supply line to the northwest of the
city, in the process reaching two Shi'ite towns loyal to the government
for the first time in three and a half years.
The army source said operations to fully encircle Aleppo from the west would be launched soon.
A senior, non-Syrian security source close to Damascus said Iranian fighters had played a crucial role.
"Qassem Soleimani is there in the same area," said the source,
referring to the head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards' elite Quds
force responsible for overseas operations.
Residents thanked Assad, Iran and Hezbollah in celebratory scenes
from the Shi'ite towns of Nubul and al-Zahraa broadcast by Hezbollah's
al-Manar TV.
The powerful Kurdish YPG militia, which controls wide areas of
northern Syria, meanwhile added to the pressure on insurgents, capturing
two villages near Nubul and al-Zahraa, the Syrian Observatory for Human
Rights reported.
The Syrian Kurds have consistently denied opposition claims that they cooperate with Damascus.
All diplomatic efforts towards ending the conflict have failed. UN
Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said the latest steps in peace talks were
undermined by increased aerial bombing. UN envoy Staffan de Mistura
announced a three-week pause.
"I think the special envoy decided to suspend the talks because the
organisation did not want to be associated with the Russian escalation
in Syria, which risks undermining the talks completely," a UN official
told Reuters.
Mohammad Javad Zarif, foreign minister of Iran, called in London for
the talks to resume and for an immediate ceasefire. But he said later
that should not mean stopping military operations against "recognised
terrorist organisations", naming the Nusra Front and Islamic State.
Rebels hope for more weapons
US Secretary of State John Kerry said his Russian counterpart Sergei
Lavrov had agreed on the need to discuss how to implement a ceasefire in
Syria during a call on Thursday.
The State Department said later Kerry would travel to Munich next
week to seek an agreement on a ceasefire after assurances by Lavrov that
Moscow was committed to a political solution in Syria.
The State Department's Kirby, however, said that Russia's pledges to
end the Syria conflict through political dialogue did not match its
military actions on the battlefield, where it continued to bomb
opposition positions.
"We're certainly seeing, at least in the very recent past, discordant messages" by Russia, Kirby added.
Rebel commanders said they hoped the peace talks' collapse would
convince their foreign backers, including Saudi Arabia, that it was time
to send them more powerful and advanced weapons, including
anti-aircraft missiles.
Assad's foreign opponents have been funnelling weapons to vetted rebel groups via both Turkey and Jordan.
One rebel leader said he expected "something new, God willing" after the failure of the Geneva talks.
Another rebel commander said: "They are promising to continue the
support. In what form, I don't yet know ... How it will crystallise,
nobody knows ... We need to wait." Both spoke on condition of anonymity.
While vetted "Free Syrian Army" rebels have received weapons
including US-made guided anti-tank missiles, their calls for
anti-aircraft missiles have gone unanswered mostly because of fears they
could end up in the hands of powerful jihadist groups such as the Nusra
Front, which are also fighting Assad.
A Russian defence ministry spokesman said a Russian military trainer was killed in a mortar attack on February 1.
"They [Russian military servicemen] are not taking part in ground
operations," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters. "We are
talking about advisers. This is linked to teaching Syrian colleagues to
operate equipment which is being delivered to Syria under existing
contracts."
A Saudi general said the kingdom was "ready to participate in any
ground operations that the coalition may agree to carry out in Syria".
Brigadier General Ahmed Asseri, who is also the spokesman for the
Saudi-led Arab coalition fighting Iranian-backed forces in Yemen, was
speaking to Saudi-owned al-Arabiya TV.
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